a “moron” could also be a group-theoretic structure. “On the symplectic inverses of left-invariant morons”
morad and moroid
watching my motivational system surfing the edge of the indefference point on the hyperbolic discounting line—always pulled back by my good friend, the cost
once i’ve found a core to corrigibility i’ll write an incel manifesto
ai alignment is great bc nobody knows what it should be, so you can do whatever you want and call it alignment.
some people just shouldn’t be given the responsibility to create datasets.
i want to commit violence
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ARE YOU FOR REAL
……………Tetlock data uses AMERICAN DATE FORMAT IN A DATASET
lw karma political compass
the cold waste of unknown en-pyee
the words “brier score” are used inconsistently: sometimes they just refer to the MSE of the probability assigned to the correct outcome, sometimes they refer to the MSE of the sum of the probability assigned to the correct and the incorrect outcome.
retconning my inner child
“The geological study of Antarctica has been greatly hindered by nearly all of the continent being permanently covered with a thick layer of ice.”
is the “takeoff” of fundamental physics in the first half of the 20th century mostly due to the industrial revolution?
goal: develop strong opinions about vector fields and where to stick wires into people’s heads.
even if cause X came along now, people wouldn’t be able to update towards it within a year.
it’s funny, conditional on AGI (and perhaps also WBE?) not doing us in, i’m pretty bullish on this century. bio seems much less of a problem, and everything else is basically a-okay, especially with people becoming richer and needing to fight less. most other collapse narratives sound pretty unlikely (though prepping is sitll a good idea! you should have three months of food & water at home)
if aliens exists and UAPs are caused by them, what implication does that have for AI safety?
hoooly crap the tino rangatiratanga is a good flag
closest pairs of points are not necessarily reflexive. there are some points in euclidean space that are just fundamentally abandoned
“perception is all you need” — Rosenblatt, 1958
it’d be deeply ironic if MLPs, sufficiently scaled, are enough for AGI
A machine-executable plan to install a self-supervised reinforcement learning system on all instances of the spot robot from boston dynamics, described step by step | posted on art station
our next arecibo message should probably include the orders of the sporadic groups, just to show that we’re somewhat advanced as a species.
Bayesian jihad
r strategy poster by day, K strategy poster by night
with resolving inconsistent graph preferences, does the portion of non-uniquely resolvable preferences shrink with the number of options? in other words: for the set 𝓖_n of all graphs with n nodes, and the set U(𝓖_n) of those graphs with a unique path-graph with a smallest graph-edit distance, is |U(𝓖_n)|/𝓖n<|U(𝓖{n+1})|/|𝓖_{n+1}|?
Logarithmic well-being views might suffer from an odd problem: They are, in some sense, too obvious, so that everyone says “yeah, that seems true” and goes on doing exactly what they did before.
“AI” refers to the observation that computers, over time, can do more & more things
The name niplav is based on a roof tile of the University of Maryland, which matches the sequence number and neuroscience thread index, which is how neuroscience researchers manage their data.
“Dodecahedron Assemblies was the publication I chose to read on my way to heaven”—apparently Uriel has managed to gain short contact via the Gato agent.
I really look forward to the next AI winter! We’ll all cozy up inside by the fireside in thick markov blankets, everyone finds a new agent foundations paper in their stocking, and we can listen to uncle Paul have his discussion with uncle Eliezer when the whole family re-unites…
niplav yushtun, ta faret ne digal.
longevity research is trying to move an outer loss signal into the inner optimizer, we’ll have to see whether that one is strong enough to take up the burden
knuckle tatoos: “nplv site”, “ttra spce”, “less wrng”
The Lightgirl of the Gate
DALL·E 2 prompts: The Gateboss of the Girlkeep
Have you considered that removing Occam’s razor from your worldview makes the worldview simpler?
the buddha vector is calculated by finding the path in the space of possible attractors that maximizes the number of attractors it could fall into with an ε perturbation, but falls into none.
vibe computing
Don Knuth really really wants to write a long site and not books. I mean…just take a look at them!
God exists, and she is a woman 😏
why am i just now finding out about examine.com this is pretty cool
in retrospect, i do remember expecting some message about “yes, you passed the test, you were actually living in a lie”, but i think that died when nobody gave me a bad grade for taking too long to become vegetarian. maybe veganism…
we can also make value of perfect information a shorter word, vopi. or voi for just value of information.
induction, abduction, deduction, transduction, traduction, seduction, adduction, eduction, reduction, contraduction
i think eliezer wanted micatwoa to take place in a world that was even more insane than here for us to more clearly see what’s wrong with our world, and the only way he could come up to accomplish that was to make the story take place in actual hell.
“i’ll stop reading at 1:30” this is your internal agents coordinating
saying “somebody should do X” repeatedly while apparently also not doing that thing (while also not being blocked by anything, such as doing something else that’s also important) ought to be discouraged.
now that must be a pretty impressive shirt i guess
when you convert all your money into assets stored on the blockchain while you go into cryopreservation in an underground bunker—literally crypt-o-currency
comment quality in /r/rational worse than on LW
just downloaded micatwoa html files inshallah
menchbarks
what is the MNIST of education interventions? what the ImageNet? what the Danbooru 2021‽
Statisticians: NOoooooo you can’t execute a t-test on elements from a Likert scale! Psychologists: Hah NHST go brrrrrrrrr
pickup artistry is incredibly feminine: if you were masculine, women would come to you anyway
what the hell my phone gives me tracers in the dark if i move it
the elegance of zeppelines is sublimp
my watch has been running for ~5 years now, and I’ve never had to change the battery. wow.
some blogs have a “start here” page that is not the default landing page: why? most people visiting your site will be there for the first time, but they have to perform an additional click to go to the “start here” page, unnecessarily.
if we clone neanderthals/denisovans, we should probably ask them about consciousness.
hang web developers by ropes whose length is inversely proportional to the loading time of their pages
people liked the old SSC more than ACX because substack is chickenshit minimalism, and it’s slow. you have to wait for the fucking text & comments to appear, while the old site loaded pretty much instantaneously. people have learned to associate chickenshit minimalism aesthetic with slow loading times, and subconsciously detest it bc of that.
Welcome to the Niplaverse! Take a seat over there, your ultrasound-stimulation helmet is being prepared in right order.
what if we kissed 👉👈😳 in front of the whiteboard with haphazard alignment ideas
eliezer yudkowsky is good actually
the answer to all questions is either: “Can you feel your toes right now?”, “Start a long site” or “Talk to more girls”.
but maybe i’m underestimating the research
looking from afar, the quality of science there looks quite abysmal, while the field is very important (finding out how to make humans learn things better! come on!)
if there’s one field ripe for huge progress by a large swath of theoretical physicists invading it, it’s probably educational research.
humans have invented mathematics surprisingly early (while the status of the number zero was still being debated in ancient greece), and programming surprisingly late (although algorithms were around for a long time, they didn’t catch on until later, even though they seem like an at least equally intuitive concept?)
who has taken the train to crazytown the furthest? (and hasn’t suffered from nervous breakdown in the process)
to diversify its lingo, the rationality community should adopt the evidentials smṛti (“I read this in a blogpost”) and śruti (“someone told this to me in a one-on-one”).
pseudoquasisemimetric
if we solve distributional shift, do we also solve ontological crises?
maybe the worst action i could take right now would be to improve a bunch of reinforcement learning wikipedia pages.
Maybe it’s true that intelligence depends on the environment, but consider: the environments where policy iteration performs better than RL with temporal difference learning are kind of dumb.
Breaking News: On-site nuke at Deepmind headquarters in London detonated.
The Moser spindle
The Balaban 11-cage
The second Blanuša snark
The first Blanuša snark
graph names that sound like war crimes:
I’m only paying lisp service to John McCarthy
guy who, when he hears someone mention SARS, thinks of deep Q-learning
let’s not read the thielleaves
which doesn’t have to be this way! blue tribe & anti-agi risk people have mostly orthogonal concerns (i really don’t see the overlap of algorithmic fairness & agent foundations, tbqhwy), and probably ample opportunities for trade (which blue-triber actually cares about compute governance etc.?) but i think zero-sum anti-trade genre affiliation thinking from blue-tribes side will prevent most of that mutually beneficial governance from happening.
looks like blue tribe will end up anti agi risk. sucks, but should have been forseeable—the connection to gray tribe & techbros is too strong.
new favorite color: space cadet (#1E2952) (not really)
from now on whenever the word “spirituality” or “consciousness” comes up in a discussion i will look slightly quizzical and ask “yeah, sure, but can you feel your toes right now?”
i don’t know of any Gentle Introduction to Why Prediction Markets are Awesome, à la Wait But Why, with stick figures and just going slow in on the topic, answering objections along the way. i consider it a collective action failure that no such text exists, and also that i don’t know of any book that does this (other than superforecasting)
have to admit that switching to python & numpy for data analysis from klong relieves me from a huge pain in the ass—klong is just slow for that.
fair enough, I forgot to remember that something being a hatecrime is considered a good thing around these regions let me pull my dick out alright
i begrudgingly admit that i have learned some things in my courses at university
a peaceful world, with moral patients peacefully grazing in the valleys
they didn’t understand my posting at twitter, they won’t understand it once they come here
We can’t guarantee success, but we can deserve it.